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Qual 222023 Summer Heat
Red31
5828.9
802333.2
58B9.2
Blue82
264829.8
4041B16.3
404137.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83882040601001201403182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8023
#19
33.23.1
31.3→28.2
Auto8.6
Teleop16.6
End8.6
blue by 4.6
4041
#7
37.90.0
38.5→38.5
Auto12.5
Teleop17.4
End7.8
Second
58
#30
28.93.1
31.8→28.7
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End6.1
blue by 0.9
2648
#29
29.80.0
28.9→28.9
Auto8.9
Teleop15.0
End6.2
Third
58B
#28
9.25.2
14.3→9.2
Auto3.8
Teleop1.5
End4.4
blue by 7.2
4041B
#25
16.30.0
13.8→13.7
Auto8.4
Teleop5.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsMissed59%Activation oddsMissed