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Red128
271344.3
802333.2
632849.6
Blue126
31947.9
456439.9
6329B27.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201208090100110130140150128126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#11
49.60.3
44.644.9
Auto18.2
Teleop23.1
End7.4
red by 1.7
319
#13
47.90.3
47.147.3
Auto15.9
Teleop26.9
End4.9
Second
44.30.3
39.339.6
Auto9.1
Teleop30.0
End4.8
red by 4.4
39.90.3
39.039.3
Auto13.0
Teleop20.4
End6.9
Third
8023
#19
33.20.3
28.228.5
Auto8.6
Teleop16.6
End8.6
red by 5.8
27.50.5
26.026.5
Auto5.7
Teleop13.0
End8.1