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Red141
264829.8
13135.8
346762.9
Blue129
804647.9
6328B25.2
17232.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136111406080100120160180141129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.90.0
62.062.0
Auto15.6
Teleop36.4
End8.7
red by 15.0
8046
#17
47.90.5
48.448.9
Auto12.6
Teleop25.7
End9.1
Second
131
#2
35.80.0
34.834.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.5
End7.1
red by 3.6
172
#24
32.20.5
32.633.1
Auto9.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4
Third
2648
#29
29.80.0
28.928.9
Auto8.9
Teleop15.0
End6.2
red by 4.6
25.20.8
26.026.8
Auto8.2
Teleop12.6
End4.3