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Red149
264829.8
13135.8
346762.9
Blue148
4041B16.3
13369.4
3467B36.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134126050100150200250300350149148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.90.5
62.062.5
Auto15.6
Teleop36.4
End8.7
blue by 6.5
133
#3
69.40.6
68.469.0
Auto18.1
Teleop38.7
End12.3
Second
131
#2
35.80.5
34.935.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.5
End7.1
blue by 1.2
36.91.0
35.236.2
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End6.3
Third
2648
#29
29.80.5
28.929.4
Auto8.9
Teleop15.0
End6.2
red by 13.4
16.31.0
14.615.6
Auto8.4
Teleop5.6
End2.3