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Red145
271344.3
802333.2
632849.6
Blue97
404137.9
997718.2
490942.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127955015020014597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#11
49.60.6
45.646.2
Auto18.2
Teleop23.1
End7.4
red by 6.7
4909
#22
42.80.1
42.942.8
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End7.0
Second
44.30.6
40.240.8
Auto9.1
Teleop30.0
End4.8
red by 6.4
37.90.1
37.937.9
Auto12.5
Teleop17.4
End7.8
Third
8023
#19
33.20.6
29.229.8
Auto8.6
Teleop16.6
End8.6
red by 15.0
9977
#21
18.20.1
18.318.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.1
End6.6