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Red10
570511.3
347219.3
34805.6
Blue95
352712.8
347857.4
594811.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24800501001501095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3472
#12
19.31.6
12.010.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.5
End-0.1
blue by 38.1
57.41.4
51.152.5
Auto9.8
Teleop46.6
End1.0
Second
5705
#33
11.31.6
14.913.3
Auto0.6
Teleop10.0
End0.7
blue by 1.5
3527
#20
12.81.4
11.212.6
Auto1.9
Teleop11.7
End-0.5
Third
3480
#34
5.62.7
7.34.6
Auto0.2
Teleop6.8
End-1.5
blue by 5.5
5948
#21
11.11.4
12.313.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
13%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsEarned