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Red21
930112.7
710226.5
77257.9
Blue45
595920.5
928214.2
393321.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605830405070802145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.52.8
31.328.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.2
red by 5.1
3933
#14
21.40.9
21.420.4
Auto6.5
Teleop14.8
End0.2
Second
9301
#32
12.72.8
14.912.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End0.5
blue by 7.8
5959
#10
20.50.9
20.619.6
Auto3.4
Teleop16.3
End0.6
Third
7725
#29
7.92.8
16.814.0
Auto1.6
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
blue by 6.3
9282
#15
14.20.9
17.316.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed22%Activation oddsMissed