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Red26
664722.7
588713.9
473110.6
Blue29
928027.2
930112.7
928214.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69760501001502002503002629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#17
22.73.0
31.628.6
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End0.9
blue by 4.5
27.23.1
30.327.2
Auto4.2
Teleop21.9
End1.2
Second
5887
#18
13.93.0
20.017.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End0.1
blue by 0.3
9282
#15
14.23.1
20.517.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End0.5
Third
4731
#27
10.63.0
13.910.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End0.3
blue by 2.1
9301
#32
12.73.5
19.916.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsMissed