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Red36
393321.4
473511.7
335411.8
Blue46
595920.5
665211.7
601725.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions538301001502003646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3933
#14
21.41.5
25.423.9
Auto6.5
Teleop14.8
End0.2
blue by 4.1
25.51.9
31.729.8
Auto3.3
Teleop20.8
End1.4
Second
3354
#13
11.81.5
13.712.3
Auto0.6
Teleop11.1
End0.1
blue by 8.7
5959
#10
20.51.9
24.722.8
Auto3.4
Teleop16.3
End0.6
Third
4735
#19
11.71.5
14.212.7
Auto0.8
Teleop10.9
End-0.1
Level
6652
#23
11.71.9
18.116.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsMissed22%Activation oddsMissed