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Red82
742139.1
473511.7
352712.8
Blue28
670223.9
664722.7
477517.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526601001502008228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.11.1
36.737.7
Auto4.8
Teleop33.6
End0.7
red by 15.2
23.92.9
18.815.9
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End-0.3
Second
3527
#20
12.81.1
12.613.6
Auto1.9
Teleop11.7
End-0.5
blue by 9.9
6647
#17
22.72.9
25.422.4
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End0.9
Third
4735
#19
11.71.1
11.812.9
Auto0.8
Teleop10.9
End-0.1
blue by 5.7
4775
#16
17.42.9
22.619.7
Auto2.7
Teleop14.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed