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Red47
352618.2
335411.8
930112.7
Blue93
754628.2
34805.6
710226.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39402060804793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3526
#30
18.20.4
20.219.8
Auto2.5
Teleop16.3
End-0.5
blue by 10.0
28.21.5
16.818.2
Auto4.9
Teleop22.9
End0.4
Second
9301
#32
12.70.4
12.912.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End0.5
blue by 13.8
26.51.5
28.530.0
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.2
Third
3354
#13
11.80.4
10.39.9
Auto0.6
Teleop11.1
End0.1
red by 6.3
3480
#34
5.62.4
3.76.1
Auto0.2
Teleop6.8
End-1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
4%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsEarned