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Red82
665211.7
670223.9
742139.1
Blue48
393321.4
513313.7
594811.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions653102040801001201408248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.5
37.738.3
Auto4.8
Teleop33.6
End0.7
red by 17.7
3933
#14
21.40.3
18.619.0
Auto6.5
Teleop14.8
End0.2
Second
23.90.5
15.916.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End-0.3
red by 10.2
5133
#11
13.70.3
10.610.9
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End-0.7
Third
6652
#23
11.70.5
15.516.0
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End-0.3
red by 0.6
5948
#21
11.10.3
13.714.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsEarned19%Activation oddsMissed