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Red46
352712.8
34805.6
928027.2
Blue58
513313.7
473511.7
588713.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322304060801004658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.2
22.722.8
Auto4.2
Teleop21.9
End1.2
red by 13.3
5887
#18
13.91.1
13.114.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End0.1
Second
3527
#20
12.80.2
14.614.8
Auto1.9
Teleop11.7
End-0.5
blue by 0.9
5133
#11
13.71.1
10.912.1
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End-0.7
Third
3480
#34
5.60.3
6.16.4
Auto0.2
Teleop6.8
End-1.5
blue by 6.1
4735
#19
11.71.1
12.213.3
Auto0.8
Teleop10.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsMissed