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Red109
463557.3
352618.2
401026.9
Blue41
710226.5
393321.4
921319.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10756015020010941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.7
51.050.4
Auto10.3
Teleop45.3
End0.9
red by 30.8
26.51.9
30.028.1
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.2
Second
4010
#28
26.90.7
39.138.4
Auto5.9
Teleop18.9
End2.2
red by 5.4
3933
#14
21.41.9
19.017.1
Auto6.5
Teleop14.8
End0.2
Third
3526
#30
18.20.7
19.118.4
Auto2.5
Teleop16.3
End-0.5
blue by 1.4
9213
#26
19.61.9
20.418.5
Auto4.4
Teleop14.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsMissed