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Red59
473110.6
477517.4
347219.3
Blue22
77257.9
335411.8
90534.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37180501001505922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3472
#12
19.31.4
13.514.9
Auto3.8
Teleop15.5
End-0.1
red by 7.4
3354
#13
11.81.9
9.98.1
Auto0.6
Teleop11.1
End0.1
Second
4775
#16
17.41.4
16.417.9
Auto2.7
Teleop14.1
End0.6
red by 9.5
7725
#29
7.91.9
13.711.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
Third
4731
#27
10.61.4
7.58.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End0.3
red by 5.8
9053
#35
4.81.9
4.22.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop5.9
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
8%Activation oddsMissed11%Activation oddsMissed