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Red41
570511.3
478211.2
440318.0
Blue58
664722.7
61069.6
601725.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32480204060801001204158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4403
#31
18.00.0
21.621.5
Auto2.8
Teleop15.0
End0.2
blue by 7.5
25.50.0
24.124.1
Auto3.3
Teleop20.8
End1.4
Second
5705
#33
11.30.0
12.412.3
Auto0.6
Teleop10.0
End0.7
blue by 11.4
6647
#17
22.70.0
23.323.3
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End0.9
Third
4782
#25
11.20.0
7.77.6
Auto0.8
Teleop10.3
End0.3
red by 1.6
6106
#22
9.60.0
10.210.2
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
11%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsMissed