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Red34
513313.7
921319.6
352712.8
Blue54
710226.5
335411.8
473110.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3836010203050603454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9213
#26
19.60.8
18.517.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.6
End0.6
blue by 6.9
26.50.1
28.128.0
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.2
Second
5133
#11
13.70.8
12.111.3
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End-0.7
red by 1.9
3354
#13
11.80.1
8.18.0
Auto0.6
Teleop11.1
End0.1
Third
3527
#20
12.80.8
14.814.1
Auto1.9
Teleop11.7
End-0.5
red by 2.2
4731
#27
10.60.1
8.98.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed1%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed28%Activation oddsMissed