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Red79
335411.8
754628.2
928214.2
Blue67
742139.1
478211.2
594811.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324502060801001201407967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.4
25.326.7
Auto4.9
Teleop22.9
End0.4
blue by 10.9
39.10.1
39.639.7
Auto4.8
Teleop33.6
End0.7
Second
9282
#15
14.21.4
11.512.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End0.5
red by 3.0
4782
#25
11.20.1
11.811.9
Auto0.8
Teleop10.3
End0.3
Third
3354
#13
11.81.4
11.813.2
Auto0.6
Teleop11.1
End0.1
red by 0.8
5948
#21
11.10.1
9.59.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsMissed