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Red128
570511.3
463557.3
77257.9
Blue39
473110.6
930112.7
921319.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56350208010012014012839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.32.6
54.457.0
Auto10.3
Teleop45.3
End0.9
red by 37.7
9213
#26
19.60.3
20.420.1
Auto4.4
Teleop14.6
End0.6
Second
5705
#33
11.32.6
8.511.0
Auto0.6
Teleop10.0
End0.7
blue by 1.4
9301
#32
12.70.3
11.911.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End0.5
Third
7725
#29
7.92.6
6.79.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
blue by 2.7
4731
#27
10.60.3
11.411.1
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned10%Activation oddsMissed