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Red98
710226.5
742139.1
921319.6
Blue62
664722.7
393321.4
401026.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67500204060801001209862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.3
38.238.6
Auto4.8
Teleop33.6
End0.7
red by 12.2
4010
#28
26.90.3
27.226.9
Auto5.9
Teleop18.9
End2.2
Second
26.50.3
25.625.9
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.2
red by 3.8
6647
#17
22.70.3
23.122.7
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End0.9
Third
9213
#26
19.60.3
18.719.0
Auto4.4
Teleop14.6
End0.6
blue by 1.9
3933
#14
21.40.3
21.821.4
Auto6.5
Teleop14.8
End0.2