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Red93
595920.5
670223.9
588713.9
Blue51
335411.8
347219.3
594811.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50270204060801001201409351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.3
23.824.1
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End-0.3
red by 4.6
3472
#12
19.30.2
19.019.3
Auto3.8
Teleop15.5
End-0.1
Second
5959
#10
20.50.3
20.420.7
Auto3.4
Teleop16.3
End0.6
red by 8.7
3354
#13
11.80.2
11.611.8
Auto0.6
Teleop11.1
End0.1
Third
5887
#18
13.90.3
13.814.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End0.1
red by 2.9
5948
#21
11.10.2
10.811.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End-0.4