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Red80
664722.7
393321.4
401026.9
Blue46
315818.5
601725.5
473511.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554201001508046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#28
26.90.2
27.427.2
Auto5.9
Teleop18.9
End2.2
red by 1.4
25.50.2
25.725.5
Auto3.3
Teleop20.8
End1.4
Second
6647
#17
22.70.2
23.223.1
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End0.9
red by 4.2
18.50.2
18.718.5
Auto3.5
Teleop14.6
End0.5
Third
3933
#14
21.40.2
21.921.8
Auto6.5
Teleop14.8
End0.2
red by 9.7
4735
#19
11.70.2
11.911.7
Auto0.8
Teleop10.9
End-0.1