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Red52
335411.8
347219.3
594811.1
Blue42
928214.2
513313.7
352712.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29292530354045505242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3472
#12
19.30.1
19.219.0
Auto3.8
Teleop15.5
End-0.1
red by 5.1
9282
#15
14.20.1
14.314.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End0.5
Second
3354
#13
11.80.1
11.711.6
Auto0.6
Teleop11.1
End0.1
blue by 1.9
5133
#11
13.70.1
13.813.7
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End-0.7
Third
5948
#21
11.10.1
11.010.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End-0.4
blue by 1.7
3527
#20
12.80.1
12.912.8
Auto1.9
Teleop11.7
End-0.5