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Red123
3362.7
353860.8
Blue130
842643.5
28022.5
283247.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14411450100200123130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
62.70.3
62.862.5
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End8.3
red by 15.8
47.00.4
46.146.5
Auto13.0
Teleop25.1
End8.8
Second
60.80.3
60.960.6
Auto13.5
Teleop37.7
End8.7
red by 17.3
8426
#11
43.50.4
42.643.1
Auto11.8
Teleop24.1
End7.3
Third
7.30.3
7.47.1
Auto3.6
Teleop0.5
End3.9
blue by 15.2
280
#22
22.50.4
21.622.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End7.2