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Red165
3362.7
353860.8
Blue142
842643.5
28022.5
283247.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14111350100150200165142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
62.70.8
62.062.8
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End8.3
red by 15.8
47.00.3
45.846.1
Auto13.0
Teleop25.1
End8.8
Second
60.80.8
60.160.9
Auto13.5
Teleop37.7
End8.7
red by 17.3
8426
#11
43.50.3
42.442.6
Auto11.8
Teleop24.1
End7.3
Third
7.30.8
6.67.4
Auto3.6
Teleop0.5
End3.9
blue by 15.2
280
#22
22.50.3
21.321.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End7.2