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Red122
6081B17.2
721158.4
317546.3
Blue142
842643.5
28022.5
283247.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13211250100150200122142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.0
58.358.4
Auto15.4
Teleop34.5
End7.5
red by 11.4
47.00.7
45.145.8
Auto13.0
Teleop25.1
End8.8
Second
46.30.0
46.346.3
Auto15.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
red by 2.8
8426
#11
43.50.7
41.742.4
Auto11.8
Teleop24.1
End7.3
Third
17.20.0
17.217.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.4
End5.5
blue by 5.3
280
#22
22.50.7
20.721.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End7.2