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Red109
7211B17.7
170149.4
608153.3
Blue147
842643.5
28022.5
283247.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13210950100150200109147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.3
53.553.3
Auto15.2
Teleop28.7
End9.0
red by 6.3
47.00.8
44.345.1
Auto13.0
Teleop25.1
End8.8
Second
49.40.3
49.649.4
Auto9.8
Teleop31.8
End7.0
red by 5.8
8426
#11
43.50.8
40.941.7
Auto11.8
Teleop24.1
End7.3
Third
17.70.3
18.017.7
Auto6.7
Teleop10.2
End0.9
blue by 4.8
280
#22
22.50.8
19.820.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End7.2