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Red157
3362.7
353860.8
Blue155
317546.3
721158.4
6081B17.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361266080100160180200157155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
62.70.7
61.362.0
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End8.3
red by 4.4
58.40.8
57.658.3
Auto15.4
Teleop34.5
End7.5
Second
60.80.7
59.460.1
Auto13.5
Teleop37.7
End8.7
red by 14.5
46.30.8
45.546.3
Auto15.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
Third
7.30.7
5.96.6
Auto3.6
Teleop0.5
End3.9
blue by 9.8
17.20.8
16.417.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.4
End5.5