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Qual 512023 Big Bang!
Red141
262031.1
353860.8
50337.2
Blue134
86239.4
170149.4
828024.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131114050100150200141134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#1
60.81.3
55.4→56.7
Auto13.5
Teleop37.7
End8.7
red by 11.5
1701
#7
49.41.7
45.5→47.1
Auto9.8
Teleop31.8
End7.0
Second
503
#6
37.21.3
36.1→37.4
Auto10.4
Teleop20.1
End6.8
blue by 2.2
862
#10
39.41.7
39.8→41.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End8.7
Third
2620
#12
31.11.3
29.5→30.8
Auto10.6
Teleop12.8
End8.0
red by 6.7
8280
#17
24.41.7
23.5→25.2
Auto8.4
Teleop10.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned