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Qual 522023 Big Bang!
Red103
608153.3
7211B17.7
6081B17.2
Blue101
360437.8
28022.5
283247.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78103050150103101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#3
53.31.8
50.4→52.1
Auto15.2
Teleop28.7
End9.0
red by 6.3
2832
#5
47.00.5
41.3→41.8
Auto13.0
Teleop25.1
End8.8
Second
7211B
#23
17.71.8
14.0→15.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.2
End0.9
blue by 20.1
3604
#15
37.80.5
36.5→37.0
Auto10.2
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Third
6081B
#19
17.21.8
12.1→13.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.4
End5.5
blue by 5.3
280
#22
22.50.5
15.8→16.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsMissed