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Red129
3604B20.9
721158.4
509023.4
Blue80
686125.0
3538B30.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10651015012980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.42.4
53.455.8
Auto15.4
Teleop34.5
End7.5
red by 27.9
30.41.7
27.228.9
Auto3.3
Teleop19.0
End8.3
Second
5090
#14
23.42.4
20.322.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End4.5
blue by 1.6
6861
#21
25.01.7
24.926.6
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End3.6
Third
20.92.4
18.921.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End6.8
red by 13.5
7.31.7
2.54.2
Auto3.6
Teleop0.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsMissed