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Red151
283247.0
28022.5
353860.8
Blue152
150141.2
3362.7
170149.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11715850100200151152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.81.7
56.758.5
Auto13.5
Teleop37.7
End8.7
blue by 1.9
33
#4
62.70.6
58.559.1
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End8.3
Second
47.01.7
41.843.6
Auto13.0
Teleop25.1
End8.8
blue by 2.4
49.40.6
47.147.8
Auto9.8
Teleop31.8
End7.0
Third
280
#22
22.51.7
16.318.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End7.2
blue by 18.7
41.20.6
40.641.2
Auto11.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsEarned80%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed