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Red118
262031.1
721158.4
509023.4
Blue64
686125.0
86239.4
719623.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119985015020011864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.2
55.856.1
Auto15.4
Teleop34.5
End7.5
red by 19.0
862
#10
39.42.0
42.240.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End8.7
Second
2620
#12
31.10.2
30.630.9
Auto10.6
Teleop12.8
End8.0
red by 6.0
6861
#21
25.02.0
26.624.6
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End3.6
Third
5090
#14
23.40.2
22.823.0
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End4.5
Level
7196
#18
23.42.0
25.323.3
Auto4.2
Teleop15.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsMissed