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Red153
6081B17.2
721158.4
317546.3
Blue128
608153.3
170149.4
7211B17.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12412650100150200153128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.8
56.857.6
Auto15.4
Teleop34.5
End7.5
red by 5.1
53.30.2
52.652.8
Auto15.2
Teleop28.7
End9.0
Second
46.30.8
44.745.5
Auto15.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
blue by 3.1
49.40.2
48.748.9
Auto9.8
Teleop31.8
End7.0
Third
17.20.8
15.616.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.4
End5.5
blue by 0.6
17.70.2
17.117.3
Auto6.7
Teleop10.2
End0.9