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Red142
283247.0
28022.5
842643.5
Blue87
262031.1
150141.2
719623.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010140608012014016018014287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.9
43.444.3
Auto13.0
Teleop25.1
End8.8
red by 5.8
41.20.2
41.441.2
Auto11.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
Second
8426
#11
43.50.9
40.040.9
Auto11.8
Teleop24.1
End7.3
red by 12.5
2620
#12
31.10.2
31.331.1
Auto10.6
Teleop12.8
End8.0
Third
280
#22
22.50.9
19.019.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End7.2
blue by 0.9
7196
#18
23.40.2
23.623.4
Auto4.2
Teleop15.0
End4.3