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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions834901001502002508584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#3
47.70.8
41.442.2
Auto13.0
Teleop24.8
End9.8
red by 10.9
36.81.6
18.420.0
Auto10.9
Teleop17.5
End8.4
Second
6101
#24
24.31.3
16.717.9
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End4.4
red by 6.2
9182
#37
18.01.6
15.016.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End5.6
Third
8124
#34
18.31.3
15.516.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.5
End5.1
red by 4.7
9211
#36
13.64.7
14.719.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned18%Activation oddsEarned