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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77550204010012012133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.35.8
29.235.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.9
End7.2
red by 17.1
8423
#33
28.21.6
23.121.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.7
Second
6618
#13
26.73.5
22.325.8
Auto7.0
Teleop13.8
End5.9
red by 7.8
8362
#18
18.82.4
15.813.4
Auto2.7
Teleop11.6
End4.6
Third
8519
#15
26.03.8
17.621.4
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End6.6
red by 9.3
5263
#40
16.72.4
15.813.4
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed