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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575801001508877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#13
26.72.0
23.725.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.8
End5.9
blue by 5.6
5144
#14
32.31.5
26.427.9
Auto9.9
Teleop16.3
End6.1
Second
6528
#12
21.62.0
15.016.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.6
End3.7
red by 1.7
6538
#27
19.91.5
10.612.1
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End3.5
Third
8373
#16
20.12.0
15.017.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End5.5
red by 1.8
8124
#34
18.32.5
17.620.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
11%Activation oddsMissed14%Activation oddsEarned