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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615102040801001201401604868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8423
#33
28.20.5
22.922.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.7
red by 6.7
6528
#12
21.60.9
19.120.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.6
End3.7
Second
9182
#37
18.00.5
17.016.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End5.6
blue by 1.9
6538
#27
19.90.9
15.116.0
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End3.5
Third
6615
#39
17.80.8
15.715.0
Auto8.3
Teleop7.3
End2.3
red by 3.7
8427
#38
14.10.9
15.216.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsMissed21%Activation oddsMissed