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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70680501001502002503003503889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.32.8
42.239.4
Auto14.0
Teleop23.9
End7.2
red by 8.6
36.81.6
26.428.1
Auto10.9
Teleop17.5
End8.4
Second
5531
#26
12.91.8
14.312.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End5.1
blue by 15.6
8179
#23
28.52.6
21.023.5
Auto10.6
Teleop13.5
End4.4
Third
1528
#30
10.31.8
8.86.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.3
End5.1
blue by 9.8
8373
#16
20.11.6
17.018.6
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed15%Activation oddsEarned