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Red93
921113.6
436257.2
836218.8
Blue100
722026.0
509032.9
514432.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917520406010012014016093100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.0
51.551.5
Auto17.2
Teleop32.3
End7.6
red by 24.3
32.91.5
27.428.9
Auto10.7
Teleop17.5
End4.7
Second
8362
#18
18.80.0
19.919.9
Auto2.7
Teleop11.6
End4.6
blue by 13.5
5144
#14
32.31.5
28.429.9
Auto9.9
Teleop16.3
End6.1
Third
9211
#36
13.60.0
11.811.8
Auto1.6
Teleop6.8
End5.2
blue by 12.4
7220
#19
26.02.3
16.719.0
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsMissed