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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1025002040608012014016013138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.83.1
36.639.7
Auto14.7
Teleop31.5
End6.5
red by 19.8
32.91.0
21.720.7
Auto10.7
Teleop17.5
End4.7
Second
46.43.1
33.536.6
Auto13.3
Teleop23.9
End9.2
red by 15.7
4737
#11
30.81.0
14.513.5
Auto8.4
Teleop17.0
End5.4
Third
66
#7
32.22.8
18.821.6
Auto11.4
Teleop10.8
End10.0
red by 14.4
6615
#39
17.81.7
17.415.7
Auto8.3
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed