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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4458020801001201401606159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.2
20.021.2
Auto10.9
Teleop17.5
End8.4
red by 10.8
7220
#19
26.01.0
19.618.7
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End6.1
Second
280
#35
16.02.0
16.818.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.0
End5.1
blue by 1.5
8297
#29
17.50.6
19.719.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End5.9
Third
1528
#30
10.31.2
6.07.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.3
End5.1
blue by 6.5
5263
#40
16.71.0
13.412.4
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsMissed