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Red122
717436.6
436257.2
812418.3
Blue71
3347.7
889517.6
366727.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111103608012014016018012271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.21.2
52.854.0
Auto17.2
Teleop32.3
End7.6
red by 9.6
33
#3
47.71.8
50.048.2
Auto13.0
Teleop24.8
End9.8
Second
36.61.2
33.534.7
Auto10.7
Teleop17.3
End8.7
red by 8.7
3667
#31
27.91.8
29.828.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.6
End4.8
Third
8124
#34
18.31.5
17.118.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.5
End5.1
red by 0.7
8895
#25
17.62.4
18.115.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned