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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10353015012597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.42.0
41.343.3
Auto13.3
Teleop23.9
End9.2
red by 17.9
8179
#23
28.53.3
24.027.4
Auto10.6
Teleop13.5
End4.4
Second
5144
#14
32.32.0
30.632.5
Auto9.9
Teleop16.3
End6.1
red by 4.0
8423
#33
28.22.7
24.927.6
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.7
Third
8373
#16
20.12.0
18.720.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End5.5
red by 9.8
1528
#30
10.32.7
7.410.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned19%Activation oddsEarned