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Red129
505045.3
360436.8
653819.9
Blue76
766024.8
514432.3
722026.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10986406010012014016018012976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.7
44.445.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.9
End7.2
red by 13.1
5144
#14
32.30.2
32.432.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.3
End6.1
Second
36.80.7
35.836.5
Auto10.9
Teleop17.5
End8.4
red by 10.8
7220
#19
26.00.2
26.126.0
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End6.1
Third
6538
#27
19.90.7
19.019.6
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End3.5
blue by 4.8
7660
#28
24.80.2
24.924.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End8.5