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Red143
918218.0
436257.2
366852.8
Blue131
3347.7
851926.0
102346.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13812750100150200250143131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.0
57.357.3
Auto17.2
Teleop32.3
End7.6
red by 9.6
33
#3
47.70.0
47.747.8
Auto13.0
Teleop24.8
End9.8
Second
52.80.0
52.852.8
Auto14.7
Teleop31.5
End6.5
red by 6.3
46.40.0
46.546.5
Auto13.3
Teleop23.9
End9.2
Third
9182
#37
18.00.0
18.118.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End5.6
blue by 7.9
8519
#15
26.00.0
26.026.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End6.6