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Red72
817928.5
661826.7
652821.6
Blue109
440539.9
842328.2
473730.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79108406010012014016018072109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8179
#23
28.50.2
28.728.5
Auto10.6
Teleop13.5
End4.4
blue by 11.4
4405
#17
39.90.3
39.439.7
Auto8.7
Teleop21.9
End9.4
Second
6618
#13
26.70.2
26.926.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.8
End5.9
blue by 4.1
4737
#11
30.80.3
30.330.6
Auto8.4
Teleop17.0
End5.4
Third
6528
#12
21.60.2
21.821.6
Auto6.3
Teleop11.6
End3.7
blue by 6.7
8423
#33
28.20.3
27.828.0
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.7