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Red140
918218.0
436257.2
366852.8
Blue107
366727.9
717436.6
365644.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391156080100160180200140107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.3
57.057.3
Auto17.2
Teleop32.3
End7.6
red by 12.6
3656
#10
44.60.5
45.244.7
Auto14.4
Teleop24.4
End5.7
Second
52.80.3
52.552.8
Auto14.7
Teleop31.5
End6.5
red by 16.2
36.60.5
37.236.6
Auto10.7
Teleop17.3
End8.7
Third
9182
#37
18.00.3
17.818.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End5.6
blue by 9.8
3667
#31
27.90.5
28.527.9
Auto5.5
Teleop17.6
End4.8