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Red90
6821.7
24542.5
30242.1
Blue129
233743.4
283434.7
22629.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13710605015020025090129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#17
42.52.6
50.347.6
Auto15.4
Teleop19.3
End6.8
blue by 1.0
43.41.7
44.646.3
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End8.1
Second
302
#16
42.12.6
44.842.2
Auto11.7
Teleop23.7
End6.7
red by 7.3
34.71.7
35.236.9
Auto13.4
Teleop16.6
End4.9
Third
68
#31
21.72.6
29.526.9
Auto7.0
Teleop10.4
End5.1
blue by 7.5
226
#1
29.21.7
23.725.4
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
68%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned